Poll Shows Dealmakers think ‘President Trump’ Could Negatively Impact Global M&A Markets

Intralinks conducted its quarterly Global M&A Sentiment Survey in April 2016, receiving 1,500 responses from M&A dealmakers about M&A market conditions.


14 April 2016

Poll Shows Dealmakers think ‘President Trump’ Could Negatively Impact Global M&A Markets

Survey of 1,500 M&A Professionals Shows Trump Feared More Than Sanders, Clinton

According to an Intralinks survey of 1,500 M&A professionals, two-thirds of M&A banking professionals worldwide believe that M&A activity would be negatively impacted if U.S. presidential candidate and current Republican primary frontrunner Donald Trump were to become president. The survey found that Trump is viewed as the presidential candidate most likely to have a detrimental effect on the level of M&A activities, with Democratic primary frontrunner Hillary Clinton viewed as the candidate most likely to have a positive impact on M&A activity.

More global dealmakers identified Trump as having a negative impact on M&A activity than Senator Bernie Sanders, despite the fact that Sanders, a self-described socialist, is sharply critical of financial services companies and advocates for stronger regulation of the sector.

The overseas concern around a Trump presidency is clearly outlined by the data, with dealmakers in Europe (71%), Latin America (83%) and Asia-Pacific (75%) believing Trump will have a negative impact on the M&A market. However, according to the results, U.S. dealmakers have relatively more faith in Trump than dealmakers in other parts of the world, with 46% of U.S. dealmakers stating that they believe that Trump will have a negative impact on global M&A activity.

Respondents indicated that if elected:

 

 

 

 

 

  • Donald Trump will have a negative impact on M&A activity in their region (62%)
  • Hillary Clinton will have a positive impact on M&A activity in their region (45%)
  • Bernie Sanders will have a negative impact on M&A activity in their region (45%)
  • Ted Cruz will have no impact on M&A activity in their region (51%)
  • John Kasich will have no impact on M&A activity in their region (60%)

Intralinks conducted its quarterly Global M&A Sentiment Survey, polling dealmakers during April 2016 about the health of the M&A market. The survey received 1,500 responses from dealmakers across the globe.



Matthew Porzio

Matthew Porzio

Matt Porzio joined Intralinks in 2003. As SVP Marketing & Strategic Business Development, he is responsible for managing and driving the strategic direction for Intralinks Dealspace including virtual data room and full deal lifecycle solutions for the M&A, Private Equity, Advisory, Corporate Development and Restructuring communities. Before joining Intralinks, he was a senior associate at Metzler, a German advisory firm, focused on cross-border M&A transactions.